Thursday, May 20, 2010

WE NEED TO GET HONESTY.

Angela Merkel, Germany's chancellor said in Berlin;
"We need the financial industry to be honest with us, If we don't get honesty, then we might not do the right thing technically but we will do the right thing politically"

Saturday, May 15, 2010

WHERE THE NEXT FINANCIAL CRISIS WILL BE IN JAPAN OR IN UK?

In my view, what's happening in Europe is particulary important for investors to be aware of and understand.
The Greek government's official request for a rescue package from its European partners and the IMF.
The European Union and the International Monetary Fund established a $1 trillion rescue package for member countries facing financial crisis and calm fears of the markets. But it didn't do. Instead, investors and speculators rushed out of Greek debt, driving up two year borrowing costs for the Greek government to over 18 percent.
After that,the grim oulook for Greece sent investors and speculators looking at the next likely victim, Portugal.
Portugal's debt was aggressively sold and downgrades soon followed.
With the Portugal domino starting to wobble, Spain came under the spotlight. As a result Spanish bonds were dumped and S&P downgraded Spain's credit rating and warnigs of possible further downgrades.

All of this sent shockwaves through global financial markets.
We must remember the  Financial Crisis in 2008 EEUU, Dubai crisis in 2009, and right now, the European Union Crisis. They are as a lot crisis in a short time. Are you agree?.
Meanwhile, the european crisis has served to Spain and Portugal to adjust their budgets, and they are rethinking their macro economics goals in the long run.

The $1 trillion rescue package was a  show of force with the purpose of achieving stability in the euro. The EU and FMI went all in, throwing massive funds and dangerous guarantees at the debt problems, and printing money to support it. But it seems that not enough and the euro is in devaluation mode and so is the debt of all euro members. Perhaps a death spiral has begun of the European Monetary Union.

In the other hand, has been a curious fact that the warnings about a possible debt crisis in Spain and Portugal left from London by comments from specialists in the Financial Times. It's curious because experts have already warned about UK, where could be the next wobbly domino and neither Spain nor Portugal. They are perceiving the most rapidly deteriorating debt load in UK since the financial crisis in 2008.
In fact, United Kingdom is the holder of the biggest budget deficit of the G-7 world. As UK as Japan have had an aggressive growth of their debt since 2008.

The Bank of International Settlements has registred the following indicators, The Government Debt as a percentage of GDP of Japan was  167% in 2007, now is 197% and expect a 204% ended 2011. United Kingdom had a 47% in 2007, now is 83% and expect a 94% ended 2011. It will be a increment of 100% in only four years.
The euro has now 1$ trillion as support, how much could has the Pound?. How much money could has the Yen as support?
Also is very important to say that Japan  is the country holds the most goverment debt in the world as a percentage of its GDP it"s 197%, The United States has a 92% and proyected to 2011 will be in 100%

In conclusion, I believe that neither Spain nor Portugal will be the next, I am thinking that it will be between United Kingdom or Japan.

Thursday, May 6, 2010

Wall Street need to be reformed!

Today,the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell nearly 1.000 points in its largest ever intraday points drop, which may have involved a trading error.
The problem was that this trading error shop on Procter & Gamble one blue chip stock weighed severely on the Dow. The stock rapidy plummeted 40% and immediately started the cascade of selling.
The selloff briefly erased more than $ 1trillion in market value and more than 29.4 billions shares changed hands in all U.S. market today.
I think that if a fat finger trade contributed to free fall the market and it cost more than One Trillion Dollars in market value, this fact should be thorough investigated.
More than 60% of trade are executed electronically and all the system should be accurate and reliable. The White House has a great opportunity for change Wall Street.

In Mind Today.

The big corporations should create new jobs in USA If they want to grow solidly